Thursday, April 5, 2012

Automobile sales vs Dow Jones

Recently I saw news about how the market jumped a bit with automobile sales data. I was wondering why that would be the case. I briefly researched and found some relative data to look through and automobile market trend does reflect quite closely to our economy.
Dow Jones from 1990 - 2010

I added two charts for passenger cars and light trucks sales.

On the top is the percentage change from year to year based on changes from base year to next year. This is there to show the volatility in as far as much it fluctuates.

When you click the link below the picture 'Dow Jones from 1990 - 2010', you can see that trend has same pattern. This tells me two things right away. There is no big relativity here as far as the data itself. The components of Dow Jones are listed as:

Components for ^DJI
SymbolNameLast TradeChangeVolume
AAAlcoa Inc. Common Stock9.63 4:00PM EDTDown 0.18 (1.83%)24,542,819
AXPAmerican Express Company Common58.10 4:00PM EDTUp 0.73 (1.27%)4,411,802
BABoeing Company (The) Common Sto73.59 4:01PM EDTDown 0.08 (0.11%)2,640,176
BACBank of America Corporation Com9.23 4:01PM EDTUp 0.03 (0.33%)180,836,846
CATCaterpillar, Inc. Common Stock105.87 4:01PM EDTDown 0.39 (0.37%)4,578,208
CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.20.22 4:00PM EDTDown 0.14 (0.69%)30,613,426
CVXChevron Corporation Common Stoc104.75 4:00PM EDTDown 0.85 (0.80%)5,983,858
DDE.I. du Pont de Nemours and Com52.70 4:00PM EDTUp 0.07 (0.13%)4,741,722
DISWalt Disney Company (The) Commo43.08 4:00PM EDTUp 0.15 (0.35%)6,341,122
GEGeneral Electric Company Common19.49 4:02PM EDTDown 0.25 (1.27%)39,962,153
HDHome Depot, Inc. (The) Common S50.62 4:00PM EDTUp 0.77 (1.54%)9,558,676
HPQHewlett-Packard Company Common23.11 4:00PM EDTDown 0.16 (0.69%)14,733,179
IBMInternational Business Machines205.47 4:00PM EDTDown 0.58 (0.28%)3,809,119
INTCIntel Corporation28.07 4:00PM EDTUp 0.14 (0.50%)22,039,042
JNJJohnson & Johnson Common Stock65.34 4:01PM EDTDown 0.05 (0.08%)7,922,631
JPMJP Morgan Chase & Co. Common St44.34 4:00PM EDTDown 0.07 (0.16%)28,833,399
KFTKraft Foods Inc. Common Stock38.04 4:01PM EDTDown 0.18 (0.47%)7,630,642
KOCoca-Cola Company (The) Common73.47 4:00PM EDTUp 0.01 (0.01%)5,765,769
MCDMcDonald's Corporation Common S98.62 4:00PM EDTUp 1.14 (1.17%)5,469,330
MMM3M Company Common Stock87.27 4:01PM EDTDown 0.57 (0.65%)2,048,367
MRKMerck & Company, Inc. Common St38.88 4:00PM EDTDown 0.02 (0.06%)13,880,879
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation31.52 4:00PM EDTUp 0.31 (0.99%)50,424,364
PFEPfizer, Inc. Common Stock22.34 4:00PM EDTDown 0.05 (0.20%)22,058,612
PGProcter & Gamble Company (The)67.31 4:00PM EDTUp 0.05 (0.07%)7,696,273
TAT&T Inc.30.94 4:00PM EDTDown 0.19 (0.61%)21,473,770
TRVThe Travelers Companies, Inc. C58.88 4:00PM EDTDown 0.34 (0.57%)2,930,858
UTXUnited Technologies Corporation81.60 4:02PM EDTDown 0.32 (0.39%)2,483,011
VZVerizon Communications Inc. Com37.66 4:03PM EDTDown 0.23 (0.61%)11,685,388
WMTWal-Mart Stores, Inc. Common St60.67 4:00PM EDTUp 0.41 (0.68%)6,528,712
XOMExxon Mobil Corporation Common84.82 4:00PM EDTDown 0.16 (0.19%)11,957,408


Other than Exxon Mobil, I do not see direct correlation in as far as within naked eyes. However, there seems to be some sort of correlation showing here. Since I wasn't able to get any statistical analysis, but based on trend alone it seems like automobile market could be relative enough to the market performance in comparison to Dow Jones Index.

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